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Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Yes

0.41 GNOT

No

0.59 GNOT

Status

Open until 31 December 2026

Buy Yes or No on 67

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized.

If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source

  • Polymarket condition 0xdcae9573d5680a2c958cca4676ed28df7a06861572124f3396cc60ab6b92b9c2
  • Rules hash 0e7dfe080c3a3a4d00917dc77a51a8d8b5ab9ac57a08b9fefb498c9308073f6e, the SHA-256 of the question and the rules above
  • Oracle, fixed for this market: g1hsxx0r86afsrwxkf38kqq5zursfrgjmp35fcvy

Record

  • 0 trades, 0.00 GNOT bought
  • Collateral 15.00 GNOT
  • Listed on 14 October 2026

Quotes

Published, UTC Yes, GNOT No, GNOT
23 October 2026, 04:41 0.41 0.59
23 October 2026, 00:18 0.37 0.63
22 October 2026, 20:30 0.395 0.605
22 October 2026, 13:09 0.385 0.615
22 October 2026, 08:19 0.42 0.58
22 October 2026, 04:42 0.405 0.595
21 October 2026, 20:30 0.43 0.57
21 October 2026, 16:37 0.415 0.585
21 October 2026, 00:19 0.425 0.575
20 October 2026, 20:31 0.415 0.585

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