Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

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Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Source

• Polymarket condition 0x8126317d621047fb13d508a2651eecc8d38305904671822a62309c5aabd353aa
• Rules hash ffe91fcabcd6e93f88c2b92c9c85a7ab59c4a6086631dd15000dd27aef6a639f, the SHA-256 of the question and the rules above
• Oracle, fixed for this market: g1hsxx0r86afsrwxkf38kqq5zursfrgjmp35fcvy

Record

• 0 trades, 0.00 GNOT bought
• Collateral 4.00 GNOT
• Listed on 15 October 2026

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