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Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes

0.33 GNOT

No

0.67 GNOT

Status

Open until 3 November 2026

Buy Yes or No on 67

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Source

  • Polymarket condition 0x2c00cb09722a0f0501c5e49131b898ed57bb5c075db4dc2bcbc14908f45b8c48
  • Rules hash 6c5e52efd48f69e7a3f56ea34e33e902aef1ed82d01fcf341bf2b8da44fe909b, the SHA-256 of the question and the rules above
  • Oracle, fixed for this market: g1hsxx0r86afsrwxkf38kqq5zursfrgjmp35fcvy

Record

  • 0 trades, 0.00 GNOT bought
  • Collateral 4.00 GNOT
  • Listed on 15 October 2026

Quotes

Published, UTC Yes, GNOT No, GNOT
22 October 2026, 20:31 0.33 0.67
22 October 2026, 16:36 0.32 0.68
21 October 2026, 16:37 0.345 0.655
21 October 2026, 04:42 0.355 0.645
19 October 2026, 20:31 0.37 0.63
19 October 2026, 13:09 0.39 0.61
17 October 2026, 13:10 0.405 0.595
15 October 2026, 01:53 0.415 0.585

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