Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?
Yes
0.465 GNOT
No
0.535 GNOT
Status
Open until 3 November 2026
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Source
- Polymarket condition
0xe0fbb3e61e61b14f5fef15ffdd0e2a0c6cf4336bb5b15877fe3e3c9fdcc6bc7f - Rules hash
418354fcb1cb504b1a0a56b859f64b81d3d5ee8478c1801ef2096d9a9247b346, the SHA-256 of the question and the rules above - Oracle, fixed for this market: g1hsxx0r86afsrwxkf38kqq5zursfrgjmp35fcvy
Record
- 0 trades, 0.00 GNOT bought
- Collateral 4.00 GNOT
- Listed on 15 October 2026
Quotes
| Published, UTC | Yes, GNOT | No, GNOT |
|---|---|---|
| 23 October 2026, 04:41 | 0.465 | 0.535 |
| 22 October 2026, 20:30 | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| 22 October 2026, 16:36 | 0.425 | 0.575 |
| 22 October 2026, 04:42 | 0.465 | 0.535 |
| 21 October 2026, 16:37 | 0.395 | 0.605 |
| 21 October 2026, 13:10 | 0.405 | 0.595 |
| 21 October 2026, 04:42 | 0.39 | 0.61 |
| 21 October 2026, 00:19 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| 20 October 2026, 20:31 | 0.37 | 0.63 |
| 18 October 2026, 13:10 | 0.345 | 0.655 |