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Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Yes

0.705 GNOT

No

0.295 GNOT

Status

Open until 3 November 2026

Buy Yes or No on 67

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Source

  • Polymarket condition 0x968a1a79e001d49fa3ee1429e3b95eb01797587740f86d4e6becf3ab1b275bfb
  • Rules hash 96fa567b8c35ec8f8aa2b9a9158b617b1ca25a9ec287c7d9ac1f0b922a5c72a1, the SHA-256 of the question and the rules above
  • Oracle, fixed for this market: g1hsxx0r86afsrwxkf38kqq5zursfrgjmp35fcvy

Record

  • 0 trades, 0.00 GNOT bought
  • Collateral 4.00 GNOT
  • Listed on 15 October 2026

Quotes

Published, UTC Yes, GNOT No, GNOT
22 October 2026, 20:31 0.705 0.295
22 October 2026, 16:36 0.695 0.305
22 October 2026, 13:09 0.715 0.285
22 October 2026, 00:18 0.70 0.30
21 October 2026, 20:30 0.685 0.315
21 October 2026, 16:37 0.655 0.345
20 October 2026, 20:31 0.645 0.355
19 October 2026, 20:31 0.635 0.365
18 October 2026, 20:31 0.655 0.345
18 October 2026, 13:10 0.675 0.325

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