SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
Yes
0.285 GNOT
No
0.715 GNOT
Status
Open until 31 December 2026
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
Source
- Polymarket condition
0x68e2344a2ce725ca99f3b93df06f27a71f3a893a38e8a6a78f8d85bd2698eb20 - Rules hash
d1cd1d41651adc1bd9a5c386878f0c9c65dec2f4ce1ab6de410f35df3cfd61b2, the SHA-256 of the question and the rules above - Oracle, fixed for this market: g1hsxx0r86afsrwxkf38kqq5zursfrgjmp35fcvy
Record
- 0 trades, 0.00 GNOT bought
- Collateral 4.00 GNOT
- Listed on 15 October 2026
Quotes
| Published, UTC | Yes, GNOT | No, GNOT |
|---|---|---|
| 22 October 2026, 04:42 | 0.285 | 0.715 |
| 21 October 2026, 20:30 | 0.295 | 0.705 |
| 21 October 2026, 08:18 | 0.31 | 0.69 |
| 20 October 2026, 04:42 | 0.295 | 0.705 |
| 19 October 2026, 00:19 | 0.305 | 0.695 |
| 16 October 2026, 16:37 | 0.32 | 0.68 |
| 15 October 2026, 13:56 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| 15 October 2026, 04:41 | 0.36 | 0.64 |
| 15 October 2026, 01:54 | 0.37 | 0.63 |