SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Yes
0.38 GNOT
No
0.62 GNOT
Status
Open until 31 December 2026
Rules
On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date.
The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.
Source
- Polymarket condition
0x0a1b551058f78174cf64ed9d61edb103a76c4df88232ee1188dbc9e390896e7d - Rules hash
8887b319b07a9be5d5b40869f942035877512dea00c7aa6cb4a92b6cf4e40c79, the SHA-256 of the question and the rules above - Oracle, fixed for this market: g1hsxx0r86afsrwxkf38kqq5zursfrgjmp35fcvy
Record
- 0 trades, 0.00 GNOT bought
- Collateral 15.00 GNOT
- Listed on 14 October 2026
Quotes
| Published, UTC | Yes, GNOT | No, GNOT |
|---|---|---|
| 23 October 2026, 04:41 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| 22 October 2026, 20:31 | 0.415 | 0.585 |
| 21 October 2026, 13:10 | 0.405 | 0.595 |
| 21 October 2026, 04:42 | 0.415 | 0.585 |
| 21 October 2026, 00:18 | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| 16 October 2026, 08:18 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| 15 October 2026, 20:31 | 0.32 | 0.68 |
| 14 October 2026, 21:33 | 0.295 | 0.705 |