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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Yes

0.185 GNOT

No

0.815 GNOT

Status

Open until 31 December 2026

Buy Yes or No on 67

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source

  • Polymarket condition 0x85647246dede70416c9c71ea851d87facf4b5efe58c685f4acc5ea94a9487c10
  • Rules hash 3f6adcaf2cac1e73a05583cdd0d066a5f7624624689a59c322e939a94c276396, the SHA-256 of the question and the rules above
  • Oracle, fixed for this market: g1hsxx0r86afsrwxkf38kqq5zursfrgjmp35fcvy

Record

  • 0 trades, 0.00 GNOT bought
  • Collateral 4.00 GNOT
  • Listed on 15 October 2026

Quotes

Published, UTC Yes, GNOT No, GNOT
22 October 2026, 16:36 0.185 0.815
22 October 2026, 13:09 0.16 0.84
22 October 2026, 08:19 0.195 0.805
22 October 2026, 04:42 0.205 0.795
22 October 2026, 00:18 0.23 0.77
21 October 2026, 13:10 0.195 0.805
21 October 2026, 08:18 0.22 0.78
21 October 2026, 04:42 0.20 0.80
20 October 2026, 16:37 0.185 0.815
20 October 2026, 13:10 0.175 0.825

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